One of my Sacramento short sales is on the market after previously selling as a short sale, meaning this is the second time around for that home. (It wasn't my previous sale, in case you're curious.) That's because we've had two big downturn waves in Sacramento. There was the beginning, in August of 2005, when the phones stopped ringing. But the second wave of price declines, which nobody is talking about, hit again at the end of 2007, when people figured the market was finished falling -- i.e., because prices could not go any lower -- yet, prices continued to fall.
I was wondering why none of the sellers I helped to do a short sale in 2006 or 2007 was buying again after a short sale in 2008 or 2009. I imagine this is why. They're a little gun shy to enter the marketplace. These are people who were probably promised they could refinance or sell at a huge profit, and it didn't work out. They had the rug pulled out from under them.
To confirm my suspicions, I turned to Trendgraphix to see if the data mirrored my thoughts. Sure enough, you can see it in the square-foot prices. The chart above shows the average square-foot-price in Sacramento from February of 2005 through February of 2010.
Laid out below is the data table from the above chart. The square-foot-price in July of 2005 was $230. By the end of 2007, it appeared to level a bit. Then wham, the rollercoaster plunged. The square-foot price fell from $210 in August of 2007 to $162 in January of 2008. As of last month, that price per-square-foot has dipped to $120.
Just from my own experiences as a Sacramento short sale agent, I could feel the market beginning to recover about this time last year. It's still a little wobbily, but it remains fairly constant. Still, if I'm expecting my former short sale sellers to buy another home shortly, I don't think it's going to happen for a while. I suspect they are sitting out this perfect storm.
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Certified HAFA Specialist
My Sacramento Real Estate Listings
Elizabeth Weintraub is an author, home buying columnist for The New York Times-owned About.com, a Land Park resident, and a Land Park real estate agent who specializes in older, classic homes in Land Park, Curtis Park, Midtown and East Sacramento. Weintraub is also a Sacramento Short Sale agent who lists and successfully sells short sales throughout the four-county Sacramento area. Call Elizabeth Weintraub at 916.233.6759. Put 35 years of real estate experience to work for you. Broker-Associate at Lyon Real Estate. DRE License # 00697006.
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